A risky Indo-Pacific

Trump’s trade war has sparked fear of the Southeast Asian war. Russia’s invasion of a smaller neighbor (Ukraine) also suggests that even in these modern times, unlimited aggression could be punished.

Mainland China’s desire to take Taiwan’s stubborn Taiwan, but has stopped doing so because its umbilical cord is associated with the prosperity of the United States. Since Trump has cut this umbilical cord, China has not rejected Taiwan.

Joe Biden made it clear after Trump made it clear that he would put American boots on the ground to save Taiwan from China. In this regard, Trump has always been laissez-faire. It is not clear whether he will come to Taiwan for help in the case of mainland invasion. He may make polite noises that make things important.

Joe Biden is also committed to the four Quads, namely the paramilitary alliance of the United States, India, Japan and Australia. In his first semester, Trump became swift friends with North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un. This friendship trembled through Japan and South Korea. Koreans hate everything the Japanese did to them during World War II. South Korea still wants to be friends with North Koreans, but they don’t like communism.

At that time, the Japanese decided that despite a security treaty with the United States, they would protect themselves from North Korea. Trump pays homage to the treaty. It is believed that Japan is far away from firing nuclear bombs to protect its keys.

Biden’s year focused very much on the Indo-Pacific region, with four of his partners conducting many joint military exercises. China found the alliance threatening and said so. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, who is a good friend with China, said that the four sides are unnecessary and even dangerous. He believes ASEAN is enough to take care of the security needs of the Indo-Pacific.

India is also satisfied with the focus on the Indo-Pacific, which is at the core. India is happy to receive all the help against China. When the most powerful American army is the Americans, nothing can help like this. India must learn military best practices from the United States, Japan and Australia, both military and economically. Four rounds of membership put India in a weight beyond its own range.

Trump is ambivalent to the quadrilateral and the Indo-Pacific in general. He is emotionally close to England. He is a white nationalist and he may also be interested in protecting Australia. But he has almost no time to go to Japan, India, and Taiwan.

China knows this. It knows that tariff deals with the United States will be difficult and cruel, and perhaps impossible. Trump intensified the fear of the Yellow Devil, who he believed China was one of his magic bases. His foundation hates China and blames it on many economic diseases that suffer from the United States and Americans.

But Trump is smart. He has put China in a corner, but he doesn’t want to fight Taiwan, tariffs or anything else. He knew that in any conflict with China, the United States would bleed. If it happens, the war with China will take place in China’s geographical area, immediately giving it an advantage with distant rivals like the United States.

Trump also knows that the quadrilateral may not be enough to take over China. Today, China owns more warships than the United States. But while Trump’s plans are numerous, a war with China may come to him, even if he doesn’t move towards it.

China’s invasion of Taiwan will tremble throughout Asia. China and Japan are deadly enemies. Japan will prepare for the Chinese war. India and China are not best friends either. India will also strengthen its war machine. Pakistan should not be alone. Asia may rise in the flames.

End of the article