Fudod’s Thought

Iran may still negotiate with us, with a lasting view while having a small-scale conflict with Israel. Even if its nuclear central gene is damaged, its knowledge will not be possible. But if the conflict spreads, the welfare of the 9MN Indians in the region will be the first focus for New Delhi.

For twenty years, every U.S. government has said that one day it may one day bomb Iran’s enrichment plants. Saturday night, “one day” arrived. The B-2 Stealth Bombers dropped a 30,000-pound “Bunker Buster” bomb, while the submarines and aircraft launched the Tomahawk at Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan, the three highest nodes in the IAEA monitored nuclear network.

Trump declared that “Food was gone” and Tehran must “agree to end the war.” What flourishes is antique Trump-muscular and headlines. However, behind the applause is a strategic gambling, whose shortcomings may go far beyond QOM.

Trump spanned a tip-footed president, turning the Israeli-Iranian Slagst into an Iranian confrontation. He insisted that the raid was a “one-time” aimed at weakening the concentration. While neither we nor Israel provide evidence that Iran is on the verge of building a bomb, the Pentagon’s quick appearance report says the strike has brought the plan back to its original state at the lowest cost.

But physics learns to be humble. Centrifuges are hardware, while enriching professional knowledge is the software that scientists’ minds. Bombs can destroy cylinders, but they cannot destroy knowledge. The Hard Forests in Tehran will now argue that only nuclear weapons can stop the next bunker nemesis. Did the raid delay the bomb or make it inevitable?

Iran accused us of serious violations of the UN Charter, the Stateless Sutra and international law and vowed that it would not be answered. The easiest escalation is the straits that threaten Hormuz, with about one-fifth of the global oil passing every day. Next, it might be the Salworth missiles on Gulf Energy neutral or on U.S. facilities, and then it might activate agents from Lebanon to Yemen.

Brent reportedly could easily move $100 a barrel as the Iranian parliament approved the strait closure.

If traffic is damaged, Oxford Economics expects $130, a level that will reduce world inflation to 6%. Traders have paid war premiums in after-sales quotes.

Meanwhile, Jerusalem was very happy. Netanyahu called the strike a bold decision. Strategically, Israel shifted part of the battle to Washington. If Iran retaliates, the Americans, not the Israelis, will calibrate the counterattack. This is the deterrent of entanglement in the short term. Over time, it will bring a larger menu of Iran’s goal to wars that we don’t want.

Russia immediately regarded the bombing as proof of the US’s recklessness, and Beijing said it was a serious violation of international norms. Any condemnation by the Security Council will face a U.S. veto.

However, at the conference, the global south is expected to be accompanied by Iran in large quantities.

For India, the strike landed like the Thunder in cricket. New Delhi is trying to balance the growing partnership with Washington, deep bonds with Israel and corresponding arrangements with Tehran, from the port of Chabahar to the International North-North-South Transit Corridor and once lasting crude oil imports. This balancing behavior has recently been criticized by major opposition parties.

●Direct anxiety is economical. The Gulf supplies 54% of India’s oil, generating about 40% of remittances, accounting for $170 billion in two-way transactions. India imports more than 80% of its crude oil; Brent increases by about a billion dollars per month for every $10 gain and puts pressure on the rupee. Consumer inflation is slightly below 5%; Hormuz’s panic may be eliminated and complicate RBI’s plans to reduce rates. Goi is already adopting supply, focusing on strategic oil reserves and talking to several producers to ensure continuity.

●The second priority is the safety of nearly 9 million Indians in the region. Iran and Israel are evacuating. Operation Sankalp in the region may be helpful if needed.

Diplomacy India has open channels with Washington, Tehran and Jerusalem, but the leverage ratio is very thin while missiles fly. Just like the post-channel efforts of Qatar and Muscat, New Delhi is still able to provide cautious news that will help both sides stay off the edge.

Meanwhile, others, including Saudi Arabia and the UAE, are actively consulting for constraints.

Key actors need face-saving options. This also means that Washington clarifies what the downgrade looks like. Will it accept enrichment below the weapon level? Does it envision returning to the JCPOA framework with phased sanctions relief? The lack of clarity of Tehran will read “time of peace” as a code for surrender.

In the United States, supporters praised the decisive action. Critics warned that the president bypassed Congress and demanded a vote on war power. Trump boasted about the task as historic, limited political clever, but strategically ambiguous. If Iran swallows the blow and returns to the conversation, the White House can win the championship. If Tehran retaliates, Washington can strike again, saying there is no choice. Either way, attacks disappear with non-proliferation institutions and betting humiliation will not lead to a wider war.

The United States enters another conflict in West Asia recalls 1991 and 2003, but this round involves nuclear facilities, peer power push back and hungry global energy South. The tunnels in Fordo may indeed be rubble, but geopolitics rarely collapse. Our strike could be tactically brilliant. Strategically, they kick out radioactivity can be along a steep road. This road needs to be avoided as a battlefield of rifts. The test is whether diplomacy can be faster than the bunker nemesis.

End of the article